Vietnam1986–presentby JP

Đổi Mới: the second country to take the bargain

1986 reforms, a collapse in poverty, and the political half left unchanged.

Markets & reformOne-party rule

What happened

After a decade of postwar central planning produced stagnation and near-famine, the 1986 Đổi Mới reforms decollectivised agriculture, legalised private business and opened Vietnam to foreign investment.

The results

Vietnam went from a rice importer to one of the world's largest exporters, and the poverty rate fell from over half the population to single digits. The market half worked; single-party rule stayed constant.

Why it happened

Vietnam replicated China's result eight years later, which makes the experiment harder to wave away: what produced the growth in both was prices, private ownership and competition — the opposite of central planning. The party half is a cost, not a cause. Anyone citing Asian growth as a case for state direction is pointing at economies that grew by doing the reverse, and kept the politics that constrains them.

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Sources

From Plan to Market: The Economic Transition in VietnamBookAdam Fforde & Stefan de Vylder — Westview Press · 1996
The Chinese Economy: Adaptation and GrowthBookBarry Naughton — MIT Press · 2018
Why Nations FailBookDaron Acemoglu & James A. Robinson — Crown · 2012